Wednesday, August 20, 2025

The Wage vs. Inflation Crisis in America


A Growing Divide

Over the decades, wages have struggled to keep pace with inflation—most of America’s promise of upward mobility has been eroded. From 1979 to 2011, inflation-adjusted median household income rose shabbily by just 26.5%, or 46% when accounting for after-tax income and household size. Yet during that same era, the top 10% saw a 78% jump in gross household income, while the bottom 10% experienced a 40% increase. Between 1979 and 2007 alone, after-tax income for the top 1% soared 275%, while the bottom 20% saw only ~18% growth.

Real Wages: Broken Promises Fulfilled?

From 2006 to 2025, the nominal average weekly wage rose by about 78.7%, but inflation ate most of it—real wages increased a mere **11.9%**. Over that period, only about $130 of a $540 nominal weekly gain translated into real purchasing power. Even worse, certain periods were disastrous—June 2022 saw inflation at 9.1% while wages only grew 4.8%, deepening the squeeze.

Wage Growth by Occupation

Between 1979 and 2023, real wage gains (cumulative) were minimal for most:

  • Low-wage (10th percentile): +17%
  • Lower-middle (20th–40th): +20.8%
  • Middle (40th–60th): +17.4%
  • Upper-middle (60th–80th): +23.4%
  • High-wage (90th percentile): +46.2%.

Pre-pandemic, such growth was nearly stagnant—0.1% annually for low-wage workers between 1979–2019. The pandemic briefly reversed the trend, with low-wage real wages leaping 12.1% (2019–2023), but that may be a blip in the grand scheme.

Middle-Class Squeeze

The term captures how wage increases fall behind runaway inflation, especially in essential costs like housing, groceries, and rent—and while the well-off accumulate assets, the middle class loses ground. In real terms, median household income around 2000 was barely higher than in 1970, erasing decades of progress.


Wealth in the Hands of Few

Millionaires and Billionaires: Where Does the Money Go?

  • By 2024, the U.S. added 379,000 millionaires—over 1,000 per day.
  • The country boasts ~6 million millionaires, ~10,800 centi-millionaires (>$100M), and 850+ billionaires.
  • Forbes reports 902 billionaires in the U.S. as of 2025.

The Wealth Concentration

  • The top 20% of U.S. households owns a striking 71% of the nation’s wealth; the bottom 50% holds just 2%, averaging $52,000 in assets.
  • From 1983 to 2016, the richest households' wealth rose by 147%, while middle earners gained only 13%, and lowest-earning households actually lost **8%**.
  • In 2019, the top 1% of earners received 27% of total income, compared to just 10.9% in 1980.

The Paradox

Despite soaring numbers of millionaires, wealth remains deeply unequal. The U.S. holds 34% of global liquid wealth and 37% of all millionaires, but most gains go to the ultra-wealthy.


Timeline: Wage Raises vs. Inflation (1980s–Present)

Year(s) Wage Growth Inflation / Cost of Living Impact
1979–2007 Top 1%: +275% (after-tax) Bottom 20%: +~18%; rising disparity
1979–2023 Low-wage: +17%; Middle: +17–20%; High-wage: +46% CPI and housing costs up sharply—wages lag drastically
2006–2025 Nominal wage: +78.7%; Real wage: +11.9% Inflation ate much of wage gains
June 2022 Wages +4.8% Inflation +9.1%—a steep negative divergence
2024–2025 Nominal weekly wages +3.4% Real gain: ~0.6%

Bottom line: Though wages have nudged upward, inflation and living costs—especially housing—have increased much faster, denying most people meaningful gains.


Why Even Raises Feel Like Setbacks

  • Housing: In 2024, to afford a median-priced home (~$126,670 income required), you needed 60% more income than in 2021, yet median income only rose 1.3% to $80,610.
  • Basic Expenses: Rising prices for food, rent, childcare, and healthcare continue to outstrip wage growth. Even earners making $100K+ often feel “poorer than their parents,” thanks to crushing costs, higher debt, and fewer benefits.
  • Household Debt: With high interest rates, personal interest expenses soared sharply—one household had to tap home equity just to stay afloat.

Conclusion: The Great Squeeze

Despite gains in nominal wages and massive wealth generation, most Americans feel stuck. Wage increases—especially for lower and middle earners—haven't kept up with inflation and skyrocketing living costs. Meanwhile, an ever-growing class of millionaires and billionaires absorbs most gains, pushing financial stability further out of reach for ordinary households.


Thanks for reading. Cecilia 

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